Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 36.81%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 36.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-0 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 36.31% | 26.88% | 36.81% |
| Both teams to score 51.32% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.14% | 53.87% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.67% | 75.33% |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.49% | 28.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.71% | 64.29% |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.79% | 28.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.09% | 63.91% |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 10.09% 2-1 @ 8.01% 2-0 @ 6.33% 3-1 @ 3.35% 3-0 @ 2.65% 3-2 @ 2.12% 4-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.7% Total : 36.31% | 1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 8.05% 2-2 @ 5.07% Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.87% | 0-1 @ 10.18% 1-2 @ 8.08% 0-2 @ 6.44% 1-3 @ 3.41% 0-3 @ 2.72% 2-3 @ 2.14% 1-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.77% Total : 36.81% |