Airdrieonians
Arbroath
Ayr United
Dunfermline Athletic
Greenock Morton
Partick Thistle
Queen's Park
Raith Rovers
Ross County
St Johnstone logo
Greenock Morton
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 1
Jul 31, 2021 at 3pm UK
Cappielow Park
Dunfermline Athletic

Morton
2 - 2
Dunfermline

Oliver (23' pen.), McGrattan (81')
Oliver (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Todorov (50'), O'Hara (74')
Graham (20'), Mehmet (22')

The Match

Match Report

Dunfermline came from behind to lead in the second half before McGrattan's equaliser with nine minutes remaining.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 44.71%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Greenock MortonDrawDunfermline Athletic
44.71%27.05%28.23%
Both teams to score 48.28%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.43%56.56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.45%77.55%
Greenock Morton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.82%25.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.09%59.91%
Dunfermline Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.53%35.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.77%72.23%
Score Analysis
    Greenock Morton 44.71%
    Dunfermline Athletic 28.23%
    Draw 27.05%
Greenock MortonDrawDunfermline Athletic
1-0 @ 12.31%
2-1 @ 8.8%
2-0 @ 8.49%
3-1 @ 4.05%
3-0 @ 3.9%
3-2 @ 2.1%
4-1 @ 1.4%
4-0 @ 1.35%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 44.71%
1-1 @ 12.76%
0-0 @ 8.93%
2-2 @ 4.56%
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.05%
0-1 @ 9.26%
1-2 @ 6.62%
0-2 @ 4.8%
1-3 @ 2.29%
0-3 @ 1.66%
2-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 28.23%