Scottish Championship Gameweek 4
Sep 7, 2021 6.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Aaron Muirhead 70' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Afolabi 75' redcard
  • Aaron Muirhead 81' redcard
  • goal Ethan Varian 14'
  • yellowcard Dario Zanatta 15'
  • goal Dario Zanatta 25'
  • yellowcard Blaise Riley-Snow 31'
  • redcard Blaise Riley-Snow 79'

Ayr United vs Raith Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Aug 21, 2021 3.00pm
Inverness 1 - 0 Ayr
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Tomi Adeloye

Raith Rovers

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Aug 7, 2021 3.00pm
Inverness 1 - 0 Raith Rovers
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Dario Zanatta

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.96%) and 1-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-0 (11.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.

Result

Ayr United 30.55%
Draw 29.29%
Raith Rovers 40.16%

Both Teams to Score: 

43.27%

Goals

Over 2.5 36.61%
Under 2.5 63.39%
Over 3.5 17.25%
Under 3.5 82.74%

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5 62.63%
Under 0.5 37.37%
Over 1.5 25.85%
Under 1.5 74.15%

Raith Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 69.09%
Under 0.5 30.91%
Over 1.5 32.8%
Under 1.5 67.2%

Score analysis

Ayr United 30.54%
Draw 29.27%
Raith Rovers 40.16%
Ayr United
1-0 @ 11.36%
2-1 @ 6.57%
2-0 @ 5.6%
3-1 @ 2.16%
3-0 @ 1.84%
3-2 @ 1.27%
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 30.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.34%
0-0 @ 11.54%
2-2 @ 3.86%
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 29.27%
Raith Rovers
0-1 @ 13.56%
0-2 @ 7.96%
1-2 @ 7.84%
0-3 @ 3.12%
1-3 @ 3.07%
2-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 40.16%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship Gameweek 21
Mar 20, 2021 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Joe Chalmers 29' yellowcard
  • Jordan Houston 68' yellowcard
  • Aaron Muirhead 72' goal
  • Andy Murdoch 77' yellowcard
  • Cammy Smith 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Frankie Musonda 36'
  • yellowcard Ross Matthews 48'
  • goal Kyle Benedictus 57'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 16
Mar 9, 2021 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Dylan Tait 81' yellowcard
  • 81' yellowcard
  • Iain Davidson 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Paddy Reading 73'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 7
Dec 11, 2020 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Michael Miller 27' yellowcard
  • Sam Roscoe 83' yellowcard
  • Dario Zanatta 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Regan Hendry 32'
  • yellowcard Ross Matthews 50'
Scottish League One
Mar 10, 2018 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Somerset Park (Ayr)
  • Jamie Adams 27' yellowcard
  • Lawrence Shankland 34' goal
  • Jamie Adams 43' goal
  • Michael Moffat 53' goal
  • Lawrence Shankland 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kevin McHattie 34'
  • yellowcard Kyle Benedictus 68'
  • yellowcard Willis Furtado 71'
  • yellowcard Ross Matthews 80'
Scottish League One
Jan 13, 2018 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stark's Park (Kirkcaldy)
  • Greig Spence 47' goal
  • Euan Murray 53' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jamie Adams 12'
  • goal Lawrence Shankland 34'
  • yellowcard Craig Reid 52'
  • yellowcard Michael Moffat 66'
  • yellowcard Steven Bell 71'
  • yellowcard Patrick Boyle 77'
  • yellowcard Craig Moore 90'
Scottish League One
Nov 14, 2017 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Somerset Park (Ayr)
  • Lawrence Shankland 16' goal
  • Robbie Crawford 22' goal
  • Andy Geggan 63' yellowcard
  • Craig Moore 90' goal
  • yellowcard Jonny Court 86'