Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.96%) and 1-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-0 (11.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 30.55% | 29.29% | 40.16% |
| Both teams to score 43.27% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.61% | 63.39% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.25% | 82.74% |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.63% | 37.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.85% | 74.15% |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.09% | 30.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.8% | 67.2% |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 11.36% 2-1 @ 6.57% 2-0 @ 5.6% 3-1 @ 2.16% 3-0 @ 1.84% 3-2 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.75% Total : 30.54% | 1-1 @ 13.34% 0-0 @ 11.54% 2-2 @ 3.86% Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.27% | 0-1 @ 13.56% 0-2 @ 7.96% 1-2 @ 7.84% 0-3 @ 3.12% 1-3 @ 3.07% 2-3 @ 1.51% 0-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.19% Total : 40.16% |