Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 53.01%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 23.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.76%) and 0-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 1-0 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Raith Rovers |
23.38% | 23.62% | 53.01% |
Both teams to score 54.45% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.6% | 46.4% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.32% | 68.68% |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.96% | 34.04% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.28% | 70.72% |
Raith Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.54% | 17.46% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.07% | 47.93% |
Score Analysis |
Alloa Athletic | Draw | Raith Rovers |
1-0 @ 6.4% 2-1 @ 6.02% 2-0 @ 3.45% 3-1 @ 2.16% 3-2 @ 1.89% 3-0 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.21% Total : 23.38% | 1-1 @ 11.17% 0-0 @ 5.94% 2-2 @ 5.26% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.61% | 0-1 @ 10.37% 1-2 @ 9.76% 0-2 @ 9.05% 1-3 @ 5.68% 0-3 @ 5.27% 2-3 @ 3.06% 1-4 @ 2.48% 0-4 @ 2.3% 2-4 @ 1.33% Other @ 3.72% Total : 53.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 69 | 22 | 47 | 71 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 65 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 62 | 50 | 12 | 54 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 44 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 43 |
7 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 50 | 58 | -8 | 42 |
8 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 38 |
9 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 43 | 56 | -13 | 37 |
10 | Arbroath | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 35 | 79 | -44 | 23 |
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