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Scottish Cup | Third Round
Apr 3, 2021 at 3pm UK
Tony Macaroni Arena
Raith Rovers

Livingston
2 - 1
Raith Rovers

Fitzwater (70'), Poplatnik (109')
Holt (77')
FT
(aet)
Vaughan (13')
Hendry (36'), Spencer (90')

The Match

Match Report

The Lions levelled in the 70th minute through Jack Fitzwater to force extra time.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 31.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%).

Result
LivingstonDrawRaith Rovers
41.26%26.75%31.99%
Both teams to score 50.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.01%53.99%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.57%75.43%
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.22%25.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.27%60.73%
Raith Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.65%31.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.29%67.71%
Score Analysis
    Livingston 41.26%
    Raith Rovers 31.99%
    Draw 26.74%
LivingstonDrawRaith Rovers
1-0 @ 10.95%
2-1 @ 8.61%
2-0 @ 7.43%
3-1 @ 3.89%
3-0 @ 3.35%
3-2 @ 2.26%
4-1 @ 1.32%
4-0 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 41.26%
1-1 @ 12.7%
0-0 @ 8.08%
2-2 @ 5%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.74%
0-1 @ 9.38%
1-2 @ 7.37%
0-2 @ 5.44%
1-3 @ 2.85%
0-3 @ 2.1%
2-3 @ 1.93%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 31.99%