Airdrieonians
Arbroath
Ayr United
Dunfermline Athletic
Greenock Morton
Partick Thistle
Queen's Park
Raith Rovers
Ross County
St Johnstone logo
Ayr United
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 21
Mar 20, 2021 at 3pm UK
Somerset Park
Raith Rovers

Ayr
1 - 1
Raith Rovers

Muirhead (72')
Chalmers (29'), Houston (68'), Murdoch (77'), Smith (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Benedictus (57')
Musonda (36'), Matthews (48')

The Match

Match Report

Both goals came in the second half.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 36.7%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 35.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.87%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-0 (10.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
Ayr UnitedDrawRaith Rovers
35.49%27.81%36.7%
Both teams to score 48.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.44%57.56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.66%78.34%
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.16%30.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.89%67.12%
Raith Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.92%30.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.78%66.22%
Score Analysis
    Ayr United 35.49%
    Raith Rovers 36.69%
    Draw 27.81%
Ayr UnitedDrawRaith Rovers
1-0 @ 10.91%
2-1 @ 7.71%
2-0 @ 6.42%
3-1 @ 3.02%
3-0 @ 2.52%
3-2 @ 1.82%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 35.49%
1-1 @ 13.11%
0-0 @ 9.28%
2-2 @ 4.63%
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.81%
0-1 @ 11.14%
1-2 @ 7.87%
0-2 @ 6.69%
1-3 @ 3.15%
0-3 @ 2.68%
2-3 @ 1.85%
1-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 36.69%