Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 37.61%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 36.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 37.61% | 26.12% | 36.26% |
| Both teams to score 53.8% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.29% | 50.71% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.38% | 72.61% |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.74% | 26.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.63% | 61.37% |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.96% | 27.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.6% | 62.4% |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 1-0 @ 9.49% 2-1 @ 8.3% 2-0 @ 6.35% 3-1 @ 3.7% 3-0 @ 2.83% 3-2 @ 2.42% 4-1 @ 1.24% 4-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.34% Total : 37.61% | 1-1 @ 12.41% 0-0 @ 7.1% 2-2 @ 5.43% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.12% | 0-1 @ 9.29% 1-2 @ 8.12% 0-2 @ 6.07% 1-3 @ 3.54% 0-3 @ 2.65% 2-3 @ 2.37% 1-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.07% Total : 36.26% |