Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 49.66%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 25.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 49.66% | 25.06% | 25.28% |
| Both teams to score 51.92% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.28% | 50.72% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.38% | 72.62% |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.56% | 20.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.11% | 52.89% |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.26% | 34.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.53% | 71.47% |
| Score Analysis |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 1-0 @ 11.27% 2-1 @ 9.46% 2-0 @ 8.95% 3-1 @ 5.01% 3-0 @ 4.74% 3-2 @ 2.65% 4-1 @ 1.99% 4-0 @ 1.88% 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.66% Total : 49.65% | 1-1 @ 11.92% 0-0 @ 7.1% 2-2 @ 5% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.06% | 0-1 @ 7.51% 1-2 @ 6.3% 0-2 @ 3.97% 1-3 @ 2.22% 2-3 @ 1.76% 0-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.12% Total : 25.28% |