Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 43.94%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 31.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 1-0 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 31.27% | 24.8% | 43.94% |
| Both teams to score 57.01% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54% | 46% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.69% | 68.31% |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.16% | 27.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.57% | 63.43% |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.01% | 21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.23% | 53.77% |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 1-0 @ 7.47% 2-1 @ 7.46% 2-0 @ 4.78% 3-1 @ 3.18% 3-2 @ 2.48% 3-0 @ 2.04% 4-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.84% Total : 31.27% | 1-1 @ 11.66% 0-0 @ 5.84% 2-2 @ 5.82% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.79% | 0-1 @ 9.12% 1-2 @ 9.11% 0-2 @ 7.12% 1-3 @ 4.74% 0-3 @ 3.7% 2-3 @ 3.03% 1-4 @ 1.85% 0-4 @ 1.45% 2-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.64% Total : 43.94% |