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Dunfermline Athletic
Greenock Morton
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Queen's Park
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Alloa Athletic
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 11
Jan 2, 2021 at 3pm UK
Recreation Park
Greenock Morton

Alloa
1 - 1
Morton

Thomson (83')
Murray (61')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Fjortoft (69')
Salkeld (62')

The Match

Match Report

Alloa leave it late to snatch point.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Alloa AthleticDrawGreenock Morton
32.43%26.65%40.92%
Both teams to score 51.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.53%53.47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.01%74.99%
Alloa Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.21%30.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.94%67.06%
Greenock Morton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.27%25.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.34%60.65%
Score Analysis
    Alloa Athletic 32.43%
    Greenock Morton 40.92%
    Draw 26.64%
Alloa AthleticDrawGreenock Morton
1-0 @ 9.33%
2-1 @ 7.46%
2-0 @ 5.5%
3-1 @ 2.93%
3-0 @ 2.16%
3-2 @ 1.99%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 32.43%
1-1 @ 12.66%
0-0 @ 7.92%
2-2 @ 5.07%
Other @ 1%
Total : 26.64%
0-1 @ 10.75%
1-2 @ 8.6%
0-2 @ 7.3%
1-3 @ 3.89%
0-3 @ 3.3%
2-3 @ 2.29%
1-4 @ 1.32%
0-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 40.92%