Airdrieonians
Arbroath
Ayr United
Dunfermline Athletic
Greenock Morton
Partick Thistle
Queen's Park
Raith Rovers
Ross County
St Johnstone logo
Ayr United
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 10
Dec 29, 2020 at 6pm UK
Somerset Park
Greenock Morton

Ayr
1 - 1
Morton

McCowan (38')
Murdoch (78')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Nesbitt (26' pen.)

The Match

Match Report

Ayr recover to force draw with Morton at Somerset Park.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 47.29%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 25.76%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.25%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Ayr UnitedDrawGreenock Morton
47.29%26.95%25.76%
Both teams to score 46.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.45%57.55%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.67%78.33%
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.64%24.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.23%58.77%
Greenock Morton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.94%38.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.17%74.83%
Score Analysis
    Ayr United 47.29%
    Greenock Morton 25.76%
    Draw 26.94%
Ayr UnitedDrawGreenock Morton
1-0 @ 13.09%
2-0 @ 9.25%
2-1 @ 8.93%
3-0 @ 4.35%
3-1 @ 4.2%
3-2 @ 2.03%
4-0 @ 1.54%
4-1 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 47.29%
1-1 @ 12.64%
0-0 @ 9.28%
2-2 @ 4.31%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 26.94%
0-1 @ 8.96%
1-2 @ 6.11%
0-2 @ 4.33%
1-3 @ 1.97%
0-3 @ 1.39%
2-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 25.76%