Alloa
2 - 1
Inverness

Murray (61'), Thomson (78')

FT(HT: 0-1)

McKay (7')
Devine (61'), McKay (77')

The Match

Match Report

Robert Thomson's goal caps turnaround at home to Inverness.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 52.35%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 24.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.37%) and 0-2 (8.42%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Alloa Athletic	Draw	Inverness Caledonian Thistle
24.47%	23.18%	52.35%

Both teams to score 57.18%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.62%

43.37%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.23%

65.77%

Alloa Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.55%

31.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.17%

67.82%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.41%

16.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.61%

46.39%

Score Analysis

Alloa Athletic 24.47%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 52.35%

Draw 23.18%

Alloa Athletic	Draw	Inverness Caledonian Thistle
2-1 @ 6.27% 1-0 @ 6.04% 2-0 @ 3.49% 3-1 @ 2.42% 3-2 @ 2.17% 3-0 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.74% Total : 24.47%	1-1 @ 10.84% 2-2 @ 5.63% 0-0 @ 5.22% 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.18%	1-2 @ 9.74% 0-1 @ 9.37% 0-2 @ 8.42% 1-3 @ 5.83% 0-3 @ 5.04% 2-3 @ 3.37% 1-4 @ 2.62% 0-4 @ 2.26% 2-4 @ 1.52% 1-5 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.24% Total : 52.35%