Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 53.99%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 53.99% | 23.9% | 22.1% |
| Both teams to score 51.92% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.03% | 48.96% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.95% | 71.05% |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.95% | 18.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.06% | 48.94% |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.35% | 36.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.57% | 73.43% |
| Score Analysis |
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 11.32% 2-1 @ 9.73% 2-0 @ 9.69% 3-1 @ 5.56% 3-0 @ 5.53% 3-2 @ 2.79% 4-1 @ 2.38% 4-0 @ 2.37% 4-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.43% Total : 53.99% | 1-1 @ 11.36% 0-0 @ 6.61% 2-2 @ 4.89% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.9% | 0-1 @ 6.64% 1-2 @ 5.71% 0-2 @ 3.33% 1-3 @ 1.91% 2-3 @ 1.64% 0-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.76% Total : 22.1% |