Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 39.53%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 39.53% | 27.55% | 32.93% |
| Both teams to score 48.8% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.17% | 56.83% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.24% | 77.76% |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.94% | 28.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.28% | 63.72% |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.84% | 32.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.36% | 68.64% |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 11.46% 2-1 @ 8.27% 2-0 @ 7.29% 3-1 @ 3.5% 3-0 @ 3.09% 3-2 @ 1.99% 4-1 @ 1.11% 4-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.84% Total : 39.52% | 1-1 @ 13.01% 0-0 @ 9.02% 2-2 @ 4.69% Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.55% | 0-1 @ 10.23% 1-2 @ 7.38% 0-2 @ 5.81% 1-3 @ 2.79% 0-3 @ 2.2% 2-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 2.74% Total : 32.92% |