Scottish Championship | Gameweek 6

Dec 5, 2020 at 3pm UK

Stark's Park

Raith Rovers
2 - 2
Dunfermline

Duku (27'), Musonda (65')
Musonda (50'), Matthews (79'), Armstrong (89')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Murray (73'), McManus (74')
McInroy (28'), Mayo (48'), Wilson (54')

The Match

Match Report

Rovers had led 2-0 before the visitors recovered.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 44%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Raith Rovers	Draw	Dunfermline Athletic
44%	24.12%	31.88%

Both teams to score 59.67%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.35%

42.65%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.94%

65.05%

Raith Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.41%

19.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.49%

51.51%

Dunfermline Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.2%

25.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.24%

60.75%

Score Analysis

Raith Rovers 44%

Dunfermline Athletic 31.88%

Draw 24.12%

Raith Rovers	Draw	Dunfermline Athletic
2-1 @ 9.1% 1-0 @ 8.24% 2-0 @ 6.72% 3-1 @ 4.95% 3-0 @ 3.65% 3-2 @ 3.35% 4-1 @ 2.02% 4-0 @ 1.49% 4-2 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.13% Total : 44%	1-1 @ 11.16% 2-2 @ 6.16% 0-0 @ 5.05% 3-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.12%	1-2 @ 7.56% 0-1 @ 6.85% 0-2 @ 4.64% 1-3 @ 3.41% 2-3 @ 2.78% 0-3 @ 2.09% 1-4 @ 1.16% 2-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.45% Total : 31.88%

Raith Rovers2 - 2Dunfermline

The Match

Match Report

Data Analysis

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Raith Rovers
2 - 2
Dunfermline