Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 66.38%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 13.88%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 0-1 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 66.38% | 19.74% | 13.88% |
| Both teams to score 49.42% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.76% | 44.24% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.38% | 66.62% |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.56% | 12.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.63% | 38.37% |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.44% | 43.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.24% | 79.76% |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 2-0 @ 11.77% 1-0 @ 11.29% 2-1 @ 9.78% 3-0 @ 8.18% 3-1 @ 6.8% 4-0 @ 4.26% 4-1 @ 3.54% 3-2 @ 2.82% 5-0 @ 1.78% 5-1 @ 1.48% 4-2 @ 1.47% Other @ 3.2% Total : 66.37% | 1-1 @ 9.39% 0-0 @ 5.42% 2-2 @ 4.06% Other @ 0.87% Total : 19.74% | 0-1 @ 4.5% 1-2 @ 3.9% 0-2 @ 1.87% 2-3 @ 1.13% 1-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.4% Total : 13.88% |