Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 39.02%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 35.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 1-0 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 35.45% | 25.53% | 39.02% |
| Both teams to score 55.77% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.83% | 48.17% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.67% | 70.33% |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.7% | 26.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.57% | 61.43% |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.67% | 24.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.29% | 58.72% |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 8.55% 2-1 @ 8.07% 2-0 @ 5.71% 3-1 @ 3.59% 3-0 @ 2.54% 3-2 @ 2.54% 4-1 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.26% Total : 35.45% | 1-1 @ 12.08% 0-0 @ 6.4% 2-2 @ 5.7% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.53% | 0-1 @ 9.05% 1-2 @ 8.54% 0-2 @ 6.39% 1-3 @ 4.02% 0-3 @ 3.01% 2-3 @ 2.69% 1-4 @ 1.42% 0-4 @ 1.07% 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.89% Total : 39.02% |