Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 38.59%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 36% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 38.59% | 25.41% | 36% |
| Both teams to score 56.23% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.4% | 47.6% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.2% | 69.8% |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.7% | 24.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.33% | 58.67% |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.28% | 25.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.35% | 60.65% |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 1-0 @ 8.84% 2-1 @ 8.49% 2-0 @ 6.26% 3-1 @ 4.01% 3-0 @ 2.95% 3-2 @ 2.72% 4-1 @ 1.42% 4-0 @ 1.04% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.9% Total : 38.59% | 1-1 @ 12% 0-0 @ 6.25% 2-2 @ 5.77% 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.41% | 0-1 @ 8.49% 1-2 @ 8.15% 0-2 @ 5.76% 1-3 @ 3.69% 2-3 @ 2.61% 0-3 @ 2.61% 1-4 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.44% Total : 36% |