Ayr
4 - 1
Alloa

Walsh (6'), McCowan (30', 69'), Muirhead (62' pen.)

FT(HT: 2-1)

Trouten (11')
Lynch (59'), Hetherington (61'), Cameron (67'), Jamieson (84')

The Match

Match Report

Alloa sink to the bottom after Arbroath's win at Morton.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 64.97%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 13.74%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.93%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.

Result
Ayr United	Draw	Alloa Athletic
64.97%	21.28%	13.74%

Both teams to score 44.3%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.05%

50.95%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.18%

72.82%

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.04%

14.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.62%

43.37%

Alloa Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.09%

47.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.83%

83.16%

Score Analysis

Ayr United 64.96%

Alloa Athletic 13.74%

Draw 21.27%

Ayr United	Draw	Alloa Athletic
1-0 @ 13.61% 2-0 @ 12.93% 2-1 @ 9.52% 3-0 @ 8.19% 3-1 @ 6.03% 4-0 @ 3.89% 4-1 @ 2.86% 3-2 @ 2.22% 5-0 @ 1.48% 5-1 @ 1.09% 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.09% Total : 64.96%	1-1 @ 10.01% 0-0 @ 7.17% 2-2 @ 3.5% Other @ 0.6% Total : 21.27%	0-1 @ 5.27% 1-2 @ 3.69% 0-2 @ 1.94% 1-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.94% Total : 13.74%