Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 64.97%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 13.74%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.93%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.
Result | ||
Ayr United | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
64.97% | 21.28% | 13.74% |
Both teams to score 44.3% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.05% | 50.95% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.18% | 72.82% |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.04% | 14.96% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.62% | 43.37% |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.09% | 47.91% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.83% | 83.16% |
Score Analysis |
Ayr United | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
1-0 @ 13.61% 2-0 @ 12.93% 2-1 @ 9.52% 3-0 @ 8.19% 3-1 @ 6.03% 4-0 @ 3.89% 4-1 @ 2.86% 3-2 @ 2.22% 5-0 @ 1.48% 5-1 @ 1.09% 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.09% Total : 64.96% | 1-1 @ 10.01% 0-0 @ 7.17% 2-2 @ 3.5% Other @ 0.6% Total : 21.27% | 0-1 @ 5.27% 1-2 @ 3.69% 0-2 @ 1.94% 1-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.94% Total : 13.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
2 | Livingston | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 33 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 31 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 25 |
6 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 18 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 18 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 16 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 31 | -23 | 6 |
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