Airdrieonians
Arbroath
Ayr United
Dunfermline Athletic
Greenock Morton
Partick Thistle
Queen's Park
Raith Rovers
Ross County
St Johnstone logo
Hearts logo
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 9
Dec 26, 2020 at 3pm UK
Tynecastle
Ayr United

Hearts
5 - 3
Ayr

Kingsley (11'), Wighton (68', 74'), Lee (71'), Boyce (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Smith (57'), McCowan (60'), Walsh (90+4')

The Match

Match Report

Ayr are beaten at Tynecastle.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 66.8%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 14.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 1-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.66%), while for an Ayr United win it was 1-2 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
HeartsDrawAyr United
66.8%18.64%14.56%
Both teams to score 55.17%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.39%37.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.15%59.84%
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.58%10.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.02%33.98%
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.58%38.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.83%75.17%
Score Analysis
    Hearts 66.79%
    Ayr United 14.56%
    Draw 18.64%
HeartsDrawAyr United
2-0 @ 10.23%
2-1 @ 9.79%
1-0 @ 9.05%
3-0 @ 7.72%
3-1 @ 7.38%
4-0 @ 4.37%
4-1 @ 4.18%
3-2 @ 3.53%
4-2 @ 2%
5-0 @ 1.98%
5-1 @ 1.89%
5-2 @ 0.9%
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 66.79%
1-1 @ 8.66%
2-2 @ 4.69%
0-0 @ 4%
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 18.64%
1-2 @ 4.14%
0-1 @ 3.83%
0-2 @ 1.83%
2-3 @ 1.49%
1-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 14.56%