Scottish Championship Gameweek 15
Feb 5, 2021 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Andy Murdoch 11' yellowcard
  • Corrie Ndaba 43' yellowcard
  • Aaron Muirhead 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andy Halliday 36'
  • goal Liam Boyce 48'

Ayr United vs Hearts - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Jan 30, 2021 3.00pm
Ayr 4 - 1 Alloa
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Cammy Smith

Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Jan 30, 2021 3.00pm
Hearts 1 - 0 Dunfermline
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Liam Boyce

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 51.67%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 22.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.04%) and 1-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for an Ayr United win it was 1-0 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Hearts in this match.

Result

Ayr United 22.72%
Draw 25.62%
Hearts 51.67%

Both Teams to Score: 

47.61%

Goals

Over 2.5 44.95%
Under 2.5 55.05%
Over 3.5 23.69%
Under 3.5 76.32%

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5 60.53%
Under 0.5 39.48%
Over 1.5 23.84%
Under 1.5 76.17%

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5 78.66%
Under 0.5 21.35%
Over 1.5 45.69%
Under 1.5 54.31%

Score analysis

Ayr United 22.72%
Draw 25.62%
Hearts 51.66%
Ayr United
1-0 @ 7.83%
2-1 @ 5.62%
2-0 @ 3.64%
3-1 @ 1.74%
3-2 @ 1.35%
3-0 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 22.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.09%
0-0 @ 8.43%
2-2 @ 4.34%
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 25.62%
Hearts
0-1 @ 13.01%
0-2 @ 10.04%
1-2 @ 9.34%
0-3 @ 5.17%
1-3 @ 4.81%
2-3 @ 2.24%
0-4 @ 2%
1-4 @ 1.86%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 51.66%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship Gameweek 9
Dec 26, 2020 3.00pm
5
3
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Stephen Kingsley 11' goal
  • Craig Wighton 68' goal
  • Olly Lee 71' goal
  • Craig Wighton 74' goal
  • Liam Boyce 81' goal
  • goal Cammy Smith 57'
  • goal Luke McCowan 60'
  • goal Tom Walsh 90'+4'