Scottish Championship | Gameweek 15

Feb 5, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Somerset Park

Ayr
0 - 1
Hearts

Murdoch (11'), Ndaba (43'), Muirhead (83')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Boyce (48')
Halliday (36')

The Match

Match Report

The striker netted from the penalty spot three minutes into the second half.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 51.67%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 22.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.04%) and 1-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for an Ayr United win it was 1-0 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Hearts in this match.

Result
Ayr United	Draw	Hearts
22.72%	25.62%	51.67%

Both teams to score 47.61%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.95%

55.05%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.69%

76.32%

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.53%

39.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.84%

76.17%

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.66%

21.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.69%

54.31%

Score Analysis

Ayr United 22.72%

Hearts 51.66%

Draw 25.62%

Ayr United	Draw	Hearts
1-0 @ 7.83% 2-1 @ 5.62% 2-0 @ 3.64% 3-1 @ 1.74% 3-2 @ 1.35% 3-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.41% Total : 22.72%	1-1 @ 12.09% 0-0 @ 8.43% 2-2 @ 4.34% Other @ 0.76% Total : 25.62%	0-1 @ 13.01% 0-2 @ 10.04% 1-2 @ 9.34% 0-3 @ 5.17% 1-3 @ 4.81% 2-3 @ 2.24% 0-4 @ 2% 1-4 @ 1.86% Other @ 3.2% Total : 51.66%

How you voted: Ayr vs Hearts

Ayr United

33.3%

Draw

0.0%

Hearts

66.7%

Ayr0 - 1Hearts

The Match

Match Report

Data Analysis

How you voted: Ayr vs Hearts

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Ayr
0 - 1
Hearts