Scottish Championship | Gameweek 8

Jan 26, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Stark's Park

Raith Rovers
0 - 4
Hearts

Duku (56')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Boyce (36'), Henderson (39'), Gnanduillet (84', 90+1')
Smith (18')

The Match

Match Report

First-half goals from Liam Boyce and Euan Henderson had the leaders in control.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 44.65%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 2-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
Raith Rovers	Draw	Hearts
31.29%	24.05%	44.65%

Both teams to score 59.61%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.39%

42.6%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.99%

65.01%

Raith Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.85%

26.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.78%

61.22%

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.71%

19.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.97%

51.02%

Score Analysis

Raith Rovers 31.29%

Hearts 44.65%

Draw 24.05%

Raith Rovers	Draw	Hearts
2-1 @ 7.47% 1-0 @ 6.76% 2-0 @ 4.54% 3-1 @ 3.34% 3-2 @ 2.75% 3-0 @ 2.03% 4-1 @ 1.12% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.36% Total : 31.29%	1-1 @ 11.13% 2-2 @ 6.15% 0-0 @ 5.04% 3-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.05%	1-2 @ 9.16% 0-1 @ 8.3% 0-2 @ 6.83% 1-3 @ 5.03% 0-3 @ 3.75% 2-3 @ 3.37% 1-4 @ 2.07% 0-4 @ 1.54% 2-4 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.22% Total : 44.65%

Raith Rovers0 - 4Hearts

The Match

Match Report

Data Analysis

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Raith Rovers
0 - 4
Hearts