Scottish Championship Gameweek 10
Dec 29, 2020 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Steven Naismith 30' goal
  • Steven Naismith 33' goal
  • Steven Naismith 36' goal
  • Andy Irving 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Colin Hamilton 36'
  • goal Kris Doolan 48'

Hearts vs Arbroath - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Dec 26, 2020 3.00pm
Hearts 5 - 3 Ayr
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Liam Boyce

Arbroath

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Dec 26, 2020 3.00pm
Dunfermline 1 - 0 Arbroath
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Jack Hamilton

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 76.22%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 8.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.48%) and 1-0 (10.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.22%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (2.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result

Hearts 76.22%
Draw 15.2%
Arbroath 8.58%

Both Teams to Score: 

46.61%

Goals

Over 2.5 61.94%
Under 2.5 38.06%
Over 3.5 39.66%
Under 3.5 60.33%

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5 91.68%
Under 0.5 8.32%
Over 1.5 70.99%
Under 1.5 29%

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5 50.83%
Under 0.5 49.16%
Over 1.5 15.93%
Under 1.5 84.07%

Score analysis

Hearts 76.2%
Draw 15.2%
Arbroath 8.58%
Hearts
2-0 @ 12.64%
3-0 @ 10.48%
1-0 @ 10.16%
2-1 @ 8.98%
3-1 @ 7.44%
4-0 @ 6.52%
4-1 @ 4.63%
5-0 @ 3.24%
3-2 @ 2.64%
5-1 @ 2.3%
4-2 @ 1.64%
6-0 @ 1.34%
Other @ 4.18%
Total : 76.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.22%
0-0 @ 4.09%
2-2 @ 3.19%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 15.2%
Arbroath
0-1 @ 2.9%
1-2 @ 2.56%
0-2 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 8.58%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship Gameweek 2
Oct 23, 2020 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Michael McKenna 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Olly Lee 13'
  • goal Craig Wighton 70'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jun 29, 2019 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Luke Donnelly 20' goal
  • Steven Doris 89' goal
Scottish League Cup
Jul 30, 2015 7.45pm
4
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jordan McGhee 57' goal
  • Osman Sow 60' goal
  • Osman Sow 61' goal
  • Jamie Walker 90' goal
  • goal David Gold 40'
  • yellowcard Craig Wilson 62'
  • yellowcard Sergio Alvarez 74'
  • goal Martin Grehan 85'