Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 76.22%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 8.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.48%) and 1-0 (10.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.22%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (2.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
Result | ||
Hearts | Draw | Arbroath |
76.22% | 15.2% | 8.58% |
Both teams to score 46.61% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.94% | 38.06% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.66% | 60.33% |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.68% | 8.32% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.99% | 29% |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.83% | 49.16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.93% | 84.07% |
Score Analysis |
Hearts | Draw | Arbroath |
2-0 @ 12.64% 3-0 @ 10.48% 1-0 @ 10.16% 2-1 @ 8.98% 3-1 @ 7.44% 4-0 @ 6.52% 4-1 @ 4.63% 5-0 @ 3.24% 3-2 @ 2.64% 5-1 @ 2.3% 4-2 @ 1.64% 6-0 @ 1.34% 6-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.22% Total : 76.2% | 1-1 @ 7.22% 0-0 @ 4.09% 2-2 @ 3.19% Other @ 0.7% Total : 15.2% | 0-1 @ 2.9% 1-2 @ 2.56% 0-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.08% Total : 8.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 69 | 22 | 47 | 71 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 65 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 62 | 50 | 12 | 54 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 44 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 43 |
7 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 50 | 58 | -8 | 42 |
8 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 38 |
9 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 43 | 56 | -13 | 37 |
10 | Arbroath | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 35 | 79 | -44 | 23 |
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