Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 36.57%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 36.46% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-0 (10.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ayr United | Draw | Raith Rovers |
36.46% | 26.97% | 36.57% |
Both teams to score 51.02% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.76% | 54.24% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.36% | 75.64% |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.4% | 28.6% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.6% | 64.4% |
Raith Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.46% | 28.54% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.67% | 64.33% |
Score Analysis |
Ayr United | Draw | Raith Rovers |
1-0 @ 10.21% 2-1 @ 8.02% 2-0 @ 6.4% 3-1 @ 3.35% 3-0 @ 2.67% 3-2 @ 2.1% 4-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.68% Total : 36.46% | 1-1 @ 12.81% 0-0 @ 8.16% 2-2 @ 5.03% Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.97% | 0-1 @ 10.23% 1-2 @ 8.03% 0-2 @ 6.42% 1-3 @ 3.36% 0-3 @ 2.68% 2-3 @ 2.1% 1-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.69% Total : 36.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
2 | Livingston | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 33 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 31 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 25 |
6 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 18 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 18 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 16 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 31 | -23 | 6 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |