Scottish Championship | Gameweek 18

Feb 27, 2021 at 3pm UK

Somerset Park

Ayr
0 - 1
Arbroath

Ndaba (54')

FT(HT: 0-0)

McKenna (63')
Hamilton (75')

The Match

Match Report

Derek Gaston produced a double save to keep out Tom Walsh and Dario Zanatta.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 44.22%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
Ayr United	Draw	Arbroath
44.22%	26.5%	29.28%

Both teams to score 50.51%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.01%

53.99%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.57%

75.43%

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.71%

24.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.34%

58.65%

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.71%

33.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.09%

69.91%

Score Analysis

Ayr United 44.21%

Arbroath 29.28%

Draw 26.5%

Ayr United	Draw	Arbroath
1-0 @ 11.44% 2-1 @ 8.91% 2-0 @ 8.1% 3-1 @ 4.2% 3-0 @ 3.82% 3-2 @ 2.31% 4-1 @ 1.49% 4-0 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.6% Total : 44.21%	1-1 @ 12.58% 0-0 @ 8.09% 2-2 @ 4.9% Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.5%	0-1 @ 8.89% 1-2 @ 6.92% 0-2 @ 4.89% 1-3 @ 2.54% 2-3 @ 1.8% 0-3 @ 1.79% Other @ 2.45% Total : 29.28%

Ayr0 - 1Arbroath

The Match

Match Report

Data Analysis

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Ayr
0 - 1
Arbroath