Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 66.17%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 15.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 1-0 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.42%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 1-2 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Raith Rovers | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
66.17% | 18.49% | 15.34% |
Both teams to score 57.79% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.83% | 35.17% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.81% | 57.18% |
Raith Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.1% | 9.9% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.21% | 32.79% |
Alloa Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.14% | 35.86% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.37% | 72.63% |
Score Analysis |
Raith Rovers | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
2-1 @ 9.74% 2-0 @ 9.49% 1-0 @ 8.21% 3-1 @ 7.51% 3-0 @ 7.32% 4-1 @ 4.34% 4-0 @ 4.23% 3-2 @ 3.85% 4-2 @ 2.23% 5-1 @ 2.01% 5-0 @ 1.96% 5-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 4.26% Total : 66.17% | 1-1 @ 8.42% 2-2 @ 4.99% 0-0 @ 3.55% 3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.22% Total : 18.49% | 1-2 @ 4.32% 0-1 @ 3.64% 0-2 @ 1.87% 2-3 @ 1.71% 1-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.33% Total : 15.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
2 | Livingston | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 33 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 31 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 25 |
6 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 18 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 18 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 16 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 31 | -23 | 6 |
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