Scottish Championship | Gameweek 11

Feb 3, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

East End Park

Dunfermline
4 - 1
Raith Rovers

McManus (44'), Comrie (50'), Murray (66', 87')
Wilson (62')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Spencer (64')
Abraham (39'), Tumilty (60')

The Match

Match Report

Dunfermline rise above Raith into second place

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 46.58%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 28.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.

Result
Dunfermline Athletic	Draw	Raith Rovers
46.58%	24.91%	28.51%

Both teams to score 55.03%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.12%

47.88%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.94%

70.06%

Dunfermline Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.4%

20.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.85%

53.15%

Raith Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.31%

30.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.06%

66.94%

Score Analysis

Dunfermline Athletic 46.58%

Raith Rovers 28.51%

Draw 24.9%

Dunfermline Athletic	Draw	Raith Rovers
1-0 @ 9.99% 2-1 @ 9.32% 2-0 @ 7.89% 3-1 @ 4.91% 3-0 @ 4.16% 3-2 @ 2.9% 4-1 @ 1.94% 4-0 @ 1.64% 4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.69% Total : 46.58%	1-1 @ 11.79% 0-0 @ 6.32% 2-2 @ 5.51% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.9%	0-1 @ 7.47% 1-2 @ 6.97% 0-2 @ 4.41% 1-3 @ 2.74% 2-3 @ 2.17% 0-3 @ 1.74% Other @ 3.01% Total : 28.51%

Dunfermline4 - 1Raith Rovers

The Match

Match Report

Data Analysis

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Dunfermline
4 - 1
Raith Rovers