Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 41.19%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Arbroath in this match.
Result | ||
Arbroath | Draw | Raith Rovers |
41.19% | 26.19% | 32.61% |
Both teams to score 52.93% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.46% | 51.54% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.66% | 73.34% |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.29% | 24.71% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.74% | 59.26% |
Raith Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.3% | 29.7% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.25% | 65.75% |
Score Analysis |
Arbroath | Draw | Raith Rovers |
1-0 @ 10.25% 2-1 @ 8.71% 2-0 @ 7.17% 3-1 @ 4.06% 3-0 @ 3.34% 3-2 @ 2.46% 4-1 @ 1.42% 4-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.62% Total : 41.19% | 1-1 @ 12.45% 0-0 @ 7.34% 2-2 @ 5.29% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.18% | 0-1 @ 8.91% 1-2 @ 7.56% 0-2 @ 5.41% 1-3 @ 3.06% 0-3 @ 2.19% 2-3 @ 2.14% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.42% Total : 32.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 69 | 22 | 47 | 71 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 65 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 62 | 50 | 12 | 54 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 44 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 43 |
7 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 50 | 58 | -8 | 42 |
8 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 38 |
9 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 43 | 56 | -13 | 37 |
10 | Arbroath | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 35 | 79 | -44 | 23 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |