Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 66.18%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 14.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 0-1 (4.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 66.18% | 19.74% | 14.08% |
| Both teams to score 49.97% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.21% | 43.79% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.82% | 66.18% |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.64% | 12.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.8% | 38.2% |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.02% | 42.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.72% | 79.28% |
| Score Analysis |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 2-0 @ 11.61% 1-0 @ 11.1% 2-1 @ 9.8% 3-0 @ 8.09% 3-1 @ 6.83% 4-0 @ 4.23% 4-1 @ 3.57% 3-2 @ 2.89% 5-0 @ 1.77% 4-2 @ 1.51% 5-1 @ 1.49% Other @ 3.27% Total : 66.17% | 1-1 @ 9.38% 0-0 @ 5.31% 2-2 @ 4.14% Other @ 0.91% Total : 19.74% | 0-1 @ 4.49% 1-2 @ 3.96% 0-2 @ 1.89% 2-3 @ 1.17% 1-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.47% Total : 14.08% |