Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 38.73%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 35.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 1-0 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Raith Rovers in this match.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 35.68% | 25.59% | 38.73% |
| Both teams to score 55.59% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.59% | 48.41% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.45% | 70.55% |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.71% | 26.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.59% | 61.41% |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.41% | 24.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.92% | 59.08% |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 8.64% 2-1 @ 8.09% 2-0 @ 5.77% 3-1 @ 3.61% 3-0 @ 2.57% 3-2 @ 2.53% 4-1 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.27% Total : 35.68% | 1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 6.46% 2-2 @ 5.68% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.58% | 0-1 @ 9.07% 1-2 @ 8.5% 0-2 @ 6.36% 1-3 @ 3.98% 0-3 @ 2.98% 2-3 @ 2.66% 1-4 @ 1.39% 0-4 @ 1.04% 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.83% Total : 38.73% |