Scottish Championship Gameweek 20
Mar 13, 2021 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Armand Gnanduillet 72' goal
  • Jamie Walker 86' goal
  • yellowcard Michael Moffat 71'
  • yellowcard Andy Murdoch 88'

Hearts vs Ayr United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Mar 6, 2021 3.00pm
Hearts 2 - 1 Dundee
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Liam Boyce

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last game
Mar 9, 2021 7.00pm
Raith Rovers 0 - 0 Ayr
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Cammy Smith

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 71.12%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 11.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.17%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (3.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Hearts in this match.

Result

Hearts 71.12%
Draw 17.3%
Ayr United 11.57%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.86%

Goals

Over 2.5 61.27%
Under 2.5 38.72%
Over 3.5 38.96%
Under 3.5 61.03%

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5 90.34%
Under 0.5 9.66%
Over 1.5 67.76%
Under 1.5 32.23%

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5 56.3%
Under 0.5 43.7%
Over 1.5 20.12%
Under 1.5 79.87%

Score analysis

Hearts 71.12%
Draw 17.3%
Ayr United 11.57%
Hearts
2-0 @ 11.53%
1-0 @ 9.87%
2-1 @ 9.55%
3-0 @ 8.98%
3-1 @ 7.44%
4-0 @ 5.25%
4-1 @ 4.35%
3-2 @ 3.08%
5-0 @ 2.45%
5-1 @ 2.03%
4-2 @ 1.8%
Other @ 4.8%
Total : 71.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.17%
0-0 @ 4.22%
2-2 @ 3.95%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 17.3%
Ayr United
0-1 @ 3.49%
1-2 @ 3.38%
0-2 @ 1.45%
2-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 11.57%

Head to Head

Scottish Championship Gameweek 15
Feb 5, 2021 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Andy Murdoch 11' yellowcard
  • Corrie Ndaba 43' yellowcard
  • Aaron Muirhead 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andy Halliday 36'
  • goal Liam Boyce 48'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 9
Dec 26, 2020 3.00pm
5
3
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Stephen Kingsley 11' goal
  • Craig Wighton 68' goal
  • Olly Lee 71' goal
  • Craig Wighton 74' goal
  • Liam Boyce 81' goal
  • goal Cammy Smith 57'
  • goal Luke McCowan 60'
  • goal Tom Walsh 90'+4'