Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 71.12%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 11.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.17%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (3.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Hearts in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hearts | Draw | Ayr United |
| 71.12% | 17.3% | 11.57% |
| Both teams to score 50.86% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.27% | 38.72% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.96% | 61.03% |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.34% | 9.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.76% | 32.23% |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.3% | 43.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.12% | 79.87% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hearts | Draw | Ayr United |
| 2-0 @ 11.53% 1-0 @ 9.87% 2-1 @ 9.55% 3-0 @ 8.98% 3-1 @ 7.44% 4-0 @ 5.25% 4-1 @ 4.35% 3-2 @ 3.08% 5-0 @ 2.45% 5-1 @ 2.03% 4-2 @ 1.8% 6-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.85% Total : 71.12% | 1-1 @ 8.17% 0-0 @ 4.22% 2-2 @ 3.95% Other @ 0.96% Total : 17.3% | 0-1 @ 3.49% 1-2 @ 3.38% 0-2 @ 1.45% 2-3 @ 1.09% 1-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.23% Total : 11.57% |