Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 71.12%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 11.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.17%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (3.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Hearts in this match.
Result | ||
Hearts | Draw | Ayr United |
71.12% | 17.3% | 11.57% |
Both teams to score 50.86% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.27% | 38.72% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.96% | 61.03% |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.34% | 9.66% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.76% | 32.23% |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.3% | 43.7% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.12% | 79.87% |
Score Analysis |
Hearts | Draw | Ayr United |
2-0 @ 11.53% 1-0 @ 9.87% 2-1 @ 9.55% 3-0 @ 8.98% 3-1 @ 7.44% 4-0 @ 5.25% 4-1 @ 4.35% 3-2 @ 3.08% 5-0 @ 2.45% 5-1 @ 2.03% 4-2 @ 1.8% 6-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.85% Total : 71.12% | 1-1 @ 8.17% 0-0 @ 4.22% 2-2 @ 3.95% Other @ 0.96% Total : 17.3% | 0-1 @ 3.49% 1-2 @ 3.38% 0-2 @ 1.45% 2-3 @ 1.09% 1-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.23% Total : 11.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 69 | 22 | 47 | 71 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 65 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 62 | 50 | 12 | 54 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 44 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 43 |
7 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 50 | 58 | -8 | 42 |
8 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 38 |
9 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 43 | 56 | -13 | 37 |
10 | Arbroath | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 35 | 79 | -44 | 23 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |