Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 71.12%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 11.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.17%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (3.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Hearts in this match.
