Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 66.04%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Queen of the South had a probability of 13.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.53%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.5%), while for a Queen of the South win it was 1-0 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Hearts |
| 13.99% | 19.97% | 66.04% |
| Both teams to score 48.94% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.97% | 45.02% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.62% | 67.38% |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.11% | 43.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.96% | 80.03% |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.23% | 12.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.95% | 39.05% |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Hearts |
| 1-0 @ 4.62% 2-1 @ 3.91% 2-0 @ 1.9% 3-2 @ 1.11% 3-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.38% Total : 13.99% | 1-1 @ 9.5% 0-0 @ 5.6% 2-2 @ 4.03% Other @ 0.84% Total : 19.97% | 0-2 @ 11.87% 0-1 @ 11.53% 1-2 @ 9.78% 0-3 @ 8.14% 1-3 @ 6.71% 0-4 @ 4.19% 1-4 @ 3.45% 2-3 @ 2.76% 0-5 @ 1.73% 1-5 @ 1.42% 2-4 @ 1.42% Other @ 3.04% Total : 66.03% |