Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 71.35%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 11.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.08%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (3.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hearts | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 71.35% | 17.14% | 11.51% |
| Both teams to score 51.25% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.88% | 38.11% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.61% | 60.39% |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.55% | 9.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.26% | 31.74% |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.6% | 43.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.38% | 79.62% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hearts | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 2-0 @ 11.41% 1-0 @ 9.67% 2-1 @ 9.53% 3-0 @ 8.98% 3-1 @ 7.49% 4-0 @ 5.3% 4-1 @ 4.42% 3-2 @ 3.13% 5-0 @ 2.5% 5-1 @ 2.09% 4-2 @ 1.85% 6-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 4% Total : 71.34% | 1-1 @ 8.08% 0-0 @ 4.1% 2-2 @ 3.98% Other @ 0.99% Total : 17.14% | 0-1 @ 3.42% 1-2 @ 3.37% 0-2 @ 1.43% 2-3 @ 1.11% 1-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.25% Total : 11.51% |