Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 49.27%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 27.17% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Ayr United |
| 49.27% | 23.56% | 27.17% |
| Both teams to score 58.54% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.21% | 42.79% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.8% | 65.19% |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.49% | 17.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.98% | 48.01% |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.96% | 29.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.05% | 64.95% |
| Score Analysis |
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Ayr United |
| 2-1 @ 9.54% 1-0 @ 8.86% 2-0 @ 7.72% 3-1 @ 5.54% 3-0 @ 4.48% 3-2 @ 3.43% 4-1 @ 2.42% 4-0 @ 1.95% 4-2 @ 1.49% Other @ 3.83% Total : 49.27% | 1-1 @ 10.95% 2-2 @ 5.9% 0-0 @ 5.08% 3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.56% | 1-2 @ 6.77% 0-1 @ 6.29% 0-2 @ 3.89% 1-3 @ 2.79% 2-3 @ 2.43% 0-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 3.4% Total : 27.17% |