Airdrieonians
Arbroath
Ayr United
Dunfermline Athletic
Greenock Morton
Partick Thistle
Queen's Park
Raith Rovers
Ross County
St Johnstone logo
Greenock Morton
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 19
Mar 6, 2021 at 3pm UK
Cappielow Park, Sinclair Street, Greenock
Ayr United

Morton
0 - 2
Ayr

FT(HT: 0-0)
Smith (55', 87')
Muirhead (27'), Reading (71')

The Match

Match Report

Cammy Smith's double helped Ayr move above their opponents in the table.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 37.85%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 36.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Greenock MortonDrawAyr United
37.85%25.72%36.42%
Both teams to score 55.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.04%48.96%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.95%71.05%
Greenock Morton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.69%25.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.91%60.09%
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.88%26.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.82%61.18%
Score Analysis
    Greenock Morton 37.85%
    Ayr United 36.42%
    Draw 25.72%
Greenock MortonDrawAyr United
1-0 @ 9.08%
2-1 @ 8.38%
2-0 @ 6.24%
3-1 @ 3.84%
3-0 @ 2.86%
3-2 @ 2.58%
4-1 @ 1.32%
4-0 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 37.85%
1-1 @ 12.19%
0-0 @ 6.61%
2-2 @ 5.62%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 8.88%
1-2 @ 8.19%
0-2 @ 5.96%
1-3 @ 3.66%
0-3 @ 2.67%
2-3 @ 2.52%
1-4 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 36.42%