Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 44.58%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 31.43% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-2 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 44.58% | 23.98% | 31.43% |
| Both teams to score 59.93% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.78% | 42.21% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.38% | 64.62% |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.84% | 19.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.18% | 50.82% |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.13% | 25.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.16% | 60.84% |
| Score Analysis |
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 2-1 @ 9.15% 1-0 @ 8.19% 2-0 @ 6.77% 3-1 @ 5.04% 3-0 @ 3.73% 3-2 @ 3.41% 4-1 @ 2.08% 4-0 @ 1.54% 4-2 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.28% Total : 44.58% | 1-1 @ 11.07% 2-2 @ 6.19% 0-0 @ 4.96% 3-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.98% | 1-2 @ 7.49% 0-1 @ 6.7% 0-2 @ 4.53% 1-3 @ 3.38% 2-3 @ 2.79% 0-3 @ 2.04% 1-4 @ 1.14% 2-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.42% Total : 31.43% |