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Alloa Athletic
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 19
Mar 6, 2021 at 3pm UK
Recreation Park
Inverness CT

Alloa
1 - 1
Inverness

Cameron (17')
Connelly (14')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Todorov (27')
McKay (74'), Devine (90+2')

The Match

Match Report

Nikolay Todorov equalised for Caley Thistle.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 54.14%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 23.29% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.1%) and 0-2 (8.51%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
Alloa AthleticDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
23.29%22.56%54.14%
Both teams to score 57.87%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.19%41.81%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.78%64.21%
Alloa Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.41%31.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.01%67.99%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.59%15.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.77%44.22%
Score Analysis
    Alloa Athletic 23.29%
    Inverness Caledonian Thistle 54.14%
    Draw 22.56%
Alloa AthleticDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
2-1 @ 6.04%
1-0 @ 5.61%
2-0 @ 3.23%
3-1 @ 2.32%
3-2 @ 2.17%
3-0 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 23.29%
1-1 @ 10.49%
2-2 @ 5.65%
0-0 @ 4.87%
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.56%
1-2 @ 9.81%
0-1 @ 9.1%
0-2 @ 8.51%
1-3 @ 6.12%
0-3 @ 5.31%
2-3 @ 3.52%
1-4 @ 2.86%
0-4 @ 2.48%
2-4 @ 1.65%
1-5 @ 1.07%
0-5 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 54.14%

rhs 2.0


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