Scottish Championship | Gameweek 22

Mar 27, 2021 at 3pm UK

Recreation Park

Alloa
2 - 2
Ayr

Cameron (31'), Williamson (46')
Dick (59')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Walsh (15'), Robertson (76' og.)
Baird (26'), Moffat (34'), Barjonas (90+3')

The Match

Match Report

An own goal secured Ayr a point.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 51.68%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 24.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.7%) and 0-2 (8.57%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Alloa Athletic	Draw	Ayr United
24.69%	23.63%	51.68%

Both teams to score 55.9%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.82%

45.18%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.47%

67.53%

Alloa Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.76%

32.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.26%

68.74%

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.5%

17.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.99%

48.01%

Score Analysis

Alloa Athletic 24.69%

Ayr United 51.68%

Draw 23.63%

Alloa Athletic	Draw	Ayr United
1-0 @ 6.39% 2-1 @ 6.3% 2-0 @ 3.62% 3-1 @ 2.38% 3-2 @ 2.07% 3-0 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.58% Total : 24.69%	1-1 @ 11.13% 0-0 @ 5.64% 2-2 @ 5.49% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.63%	0-1 @ 9.84% 1-2 @ 9.7% 0-2 @ 8.57% 1-3 @ 5.64% 0-3 @ 4.98% 2-3 @ 3.19% 1-4 @ 2.46% 0-4 @ 2.17% 2-4 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.75% Total : 51.68%

Alloa2 - 2Ayr

The Match

Match Report

Data Analysis

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Alloa
2 - 2
Ayr