Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 50.42%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 26.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.94%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 2-1 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 26.2% | 23.39% | 50.42% |
| Both teams to score 58.24% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.22% | 42.79% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.82% | 65.19% |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.24% | 29.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.17% | 65.84% |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.93% | 17.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.74% | 47.26% |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 2-1 @ 6.6% 1-0 @ 6.16% 2-0 @ 3.73% 3-1 @ 2.67% 3-2 @ 2.36% 3-0 @ 1.51% Other @ 3.18% Total : 26.2% | 1-1 @ 10.88% 2-2 @ 5.83% 0-0 @ 5.08% 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.38% | 1-2 @ 9.62% 0-1 @ 8.98% 0-2 @ 7.94% 1-3 @ 5.67% 0-3 @ 4.68% 2-3 @ 3.43% 1-4 @ 2.51% 0-4 @ 2.07% 2-4 @ 1.52% Other @ 4% Total : 50.42% |