Scottish Cup | Third Round
Apr 5, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Palmerston Park
QotS1 - 3Hibernian
The Match
Match Report
Hibs deservedly set up an away tie at Stranraer in the fourth round of the Scottish Cup.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 66.89%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Queen of the South had a probability of 13.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.43%) and 1-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.5%), while for a Queen of the South win it was 1-0 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Hibernian |
| 13.1% | 20.01% | 66.89% |
| Both teams to score 46.39% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.85% | 47.15% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.61% | 69.38% |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.43% | 46.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.84% | 82.16% |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.83% | 13.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.13% | 39.86% |
| Score Analysis |
Queen of the South 13.1%
Hibernian 66.88%
Draw 20.01%
| Queen of the South | Draw | Hibernian |
| 1-0 @ 4.69% 2-1 @ 3.63% 2-0 @ 1.79% 3-2 @ 0.94% 3-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.13% Total : 13.1% | 1-1 @ 9.5% 0-0 @ 6.13% 2-2 @ 3.68% Other @ 0.7% Total : 20.01% | 0-2 @ 12.6% 0-1 @ 12.43% 1-2 @ 9.63% 0-3 @ 8.52% 1-3 @ 6.51% 0-4 @ 4.32% 1-4 @ 3.3% 2-3 @ 2.49% 0-5 @ 1.75% 1-5 @ 1.34% 2-4 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.74% Total : 66.88% |
How you voted: QotS vs Hibernian
Queen of the South
14.3%Draw
14.3%Hibernian
71.4%7


