Queen of the South
Scottish Cup | Third Round
Apr 5, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Palmerston Park
Hibs logo

QotS
1 - 3
Hibernian

Maxwell (80')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Doidge (42', 67'), Boyle (70')
Hanlon (85')

The Match

Match Report

Hibs deservedly set up an away tie at Stranraer in the fourth round of the Scottish Cup.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 66.89%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Queen of the South had a probability of 13.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.43%) and 1-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.5%), while for a Queen of the South win it was 1-0 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.

Result
Queen of the SouthDrawHibernian
13.1%20.01%66.89%
Both teams to score 46.39%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.85%47.15%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.61%69.38%
Queen of the South Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.43%46.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.84%82.16%
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.83%13.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.13%39.86%
Score Analysis
    Queen of the South 13.1%
    Hibernian 66.88%
    Draw 20.01%
Queen of the SouthDrawHibernian
1-0 @ 4.69%
2-1 @ 3.63%
2-0 @ 1.79%
3-2 @ 0.94%
3-1 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.13%
Total : 13.1%
1-1 @ 9.5%
0-0 @ 6.13%
2-2 @ 3.68%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 20.01%
0-2 @ 12.6%
0-1 @ 12.43%
1-2 @ 9.63%
0-3 @ 8.52%
1-3 @ 6.51%
0-4 @ 4.32%
1-4 @ 3.3%
2-3 @ 2.49%
0-5 @ 1.75%
1-5 @ 1.34%
2-4 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 66.88%

How you voted: QotS vs Hibernian

Queen of the South
14.3%
Draw
14.3%
Hibernian
71.4%
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