Airdrieonians
Arbroath
Ayr United
Dunfermline Athletic
Greenock Morton
Partick Thistle
Queen's Park
Raith Rovers
Ross County
St Johnstone logo
Inverness CT
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 3
Aug 21, 2021 at 3pm UK
Caledonian Stadium
Ayr United

Inverness
1 - 0
Ayr

McGinty (54' og.)
Carson (70'), Deas (73')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Fjortoft (40'), Muirhead (75')

The Match

Match Report

The visitors were depleted by several positive Covid-19 cases.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 51.82%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 22.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.22%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle in this match.

Result
Inverness Caledonian ThistleDrawAyr United
51.82%25.8%22.37%
Both teams to score 46.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.99%56.01%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.9%77.1%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.32%21.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.19%54.8%
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.65%40.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.03%76.97%
Score Analysis
    Inverness Caledonian Thistle 51.82%
    Ayr United 22.37%
    Draw 25.79%
Inverness Caledonian ThistleDrawAyr United
1-0 @ 13.37%
2-0 @ 10.22%
2-1 @ 9.28%
3-0 @ 5.21%
3-1 @ 4.73%
3-2 @ 2.15%
4-0 @ 1.99%
4-1 @ 1.81%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 51.82%
1-1 @ 12.13%
0-0 @ 8.74%
2-2 @ 4.21%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 25.79%
0-1 @ 7.94%
1-2 @ 5.51%
0-2 @ 3.6%
1-3 @ 1.67%
2-3 @ 1.27%
0-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 22.37%