Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 37.77%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (11.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle in this match.
| Result | ||
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 37.77% | 28.41% | 33.82% |
| Both teams to score 46.45% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.15% | 59.85% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.88% | 80.12% |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.43% | 30.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.2% | 66.8% |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.89% | 33.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.3% | 69.7% |
| Score Analysis |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 11.99% 2-1 @ 7.86% 2-0 @ 7.11% 3-1 @ 3.1% 3-0 @ 2.81% 3-2 @ 1.72% 4-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.26% Total : 37.76% | 1-1 @ 13.25% 0-0 @ 10.11% 2-2 @ 4.34% Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.39% | 0-1 @ 11.18% 1-2 @ 7.33% 0-2 @ 6.18% 1-3 @ 2.7% 0-3 @ 2.28% 2-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.54% Total : 33.82% |