Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 65.39%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 15.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 1-0 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.17%), while for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win it was 1-2 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hearts | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 65.39% | 19.5% | 15.12% |
| Both teams to score 53.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.53% | 40.48% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.15% | 62.86% |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.4% | 11.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.42% | 36.59% |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.52% | 39.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.83% | 76.18% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hearts | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 2-0 @ 10.62% 2-1 @ 9.88% 1-0 @ 9.87% 3-0 @ 7.63% 3-1 @ 7.09% 4-0 @ 4.11% 4-1 @ 3.82% 3-2 @ 3.3% 4-2 @ 1.78% 5-0 @ 1.77% 5-1 @ 1.65% Other @ 3.88% Total : 65.38% | 1-1 @ 9.17% 2-2 @ 4.59% 0-0 @ 4.58% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.14% Total : 19.5% | 1-2 @ 4.26% 0-1 @ 4.26% 0-2 @ 1.98% 2-3 @ 1.42% 1-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.88% Total : 15.12% |