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Inverness CT
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 25
Apr 20, 2021 at 7pm UK
Caledonian Stadium
Dundee logo

Inverness
1 - 1
Dundee

Mackay (84')
Allardice (25')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ashcroft (86')
Elliott (55')

The Match

Match Report

Inverness took the lead with six minutes remaining despite the two-man numerical disadvantage.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 38.17%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 34.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
Inverness Caledonian ThistleDrawDundee
34.52%27.31%38.17%
Both teams to score 49.82%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.31%55.69%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.17%76.84%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.48%30.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.26%66.75%
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.71%28.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.99%64.01%
Score Analysis
    Inverness Caledonian Thistle 34.51%
    Dundee 38.17%
    Draw 27.3%
Inverness Caledonian ThistleDrawDundee
1-0 @ 10.24%
2-1 @ 7.68%
2-0 @ 6.08%
3-1 @ 3.04%
3-0 @ 2.41%
3-2 @ 1.92%
4-1 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 34.51%
1-1 @ 12.93%
0-0 @ 8.64%
2-2 @ 4.85%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.3%
0-1 @ 10.9%
1-2 @ 8.17%
0-2 @ 6.88%
1-3 @ 3.44%
0-3 @ 2.9%
2-3 @ 2.04%
1-4 @ 1.09%
0-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 38.17%