Dundee logo
Scottish Cup | Third Round
Apr 3, 2021 at 3pm UK
Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
St Johnstone logo

Dundee
0 - 1
St Johnstone


McDaid (48')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Melamed (20')
Gordon (41')

The Match

Match Report

Zander Clark saved the spot-kick as a goal from Guy Melamed earned the visitors a 1-0 win.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Dundee win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for St Johnstone in this match.

Result
DundeeDrawSt Johnstone
34.96%25.95%39.09%
Both teams to score 54.26%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.93%50.07%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.95%72.05%
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.5%27.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37%63%
St Johnstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.84%25.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.13%59.87%
Score Analysis
    Dundee 34.96%
    St Johnstone 39.09%
    Draw 25.95%
DundeeDrawSt Johnstone
1-0 @ 8.93%
2-1 @ 7.96%
2-0 @ 5.76%
3-1 @ 3.42%
3-0 @ 2.48%
3-2 @ 2.36%
4-1 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 34.96%
1-1 @ 12.32%
0-0 @ 6.92%
2-2 @ 5.49%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 9.55%
1-2 @ 8.51%
0-2 @ 6.59%
1-3 @ 3.91%
0-3 @ 3.03%
2-3 @ 2.53%
1-4 @ 1.35%
0-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 39.09%

rhs 2.0


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