Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 39.52%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-0 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Johnstone would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Motherwell | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 34.2% | 26.27% | 39.52% |
| Both teams to score 53.05% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.44% | 51.56% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.64% | 73.35% |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.31% | 28.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.49% | 64.51% |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.4% | 25.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.52% | 60.48% |
| Score Analysis |
| Motherwell | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 1-0 @ 9.17% 2-1 @ 7.8% 2-0 @ 5.73% 3-1 @ 3.25% 3-0 @ 2.38% 3-2 @ 2.21% 4-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.65% Total : 34.2% | 1-1 @ 12.49% 0-0 @ 7.34% 2-2 @ 5.32% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 10% 1-2 @ 8.51% 0-2 @ 6.82% 1-3 @ 3.87% 0-3 @ 3.1% 2-3 @ 2.41% 1-4 @ 1.32% 0-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.44% Total : 39.52% |