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Scottish Championship | Gameweek 22
Mar 27, 2021 at 7.20pm UK
Dens Park
Dunfermline Athletic

Dundee
3 - 2
Dunfermline

Cummings (30'), Mullen (54'), Ashcroft (56')
Marshall (79'), Anderson (83')
FT(HT: 1-2)
O'Hara (3'), Wighton (6')

The Match

Match Report

The Dark Blues are up to third in the table after Saturday's battling victory.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 55.12%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 20.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Dunfermline Athletic win it was 0-1 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.

Result
DundeeDrawDunfermline Athletic
55.12%24.15%20.73%
Both teams to score 49.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.52%51.48%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.72%73.28%
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.44%18.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.18%49.82%
Dunfermline Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.57%39.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.87%76.13%
Score Analysis
    Dundee 55.1%
    Dunfermline Athletic 20.73%
    Draw 24.15%
DundeeDrawDunfermline Athletic
1-0 @ 12.32%
2-0 @ 10.37%
2-1 @ 9.66%
3-0 @ 5.83%
3-1 @ 5.42%
3-2 @ 2.52%
4-0 @ 2.45%
4-1 @ 2.28%
4-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 55.1%
1-1 @ 11.47%
0-0 @ 7.32%
2-2 @ 4.49%
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 24.15%
0-1 @ 6.81%
1-2 @ 5.34%
0-2 @ 3.17%
1-3 @ 1.66%
2-3 @ 1.39%
0-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 20.73%