Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 55.12%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 20.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Dunfermline Athletic win it was 0-1 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundee | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 55.12% | 24.15% | 20.73% |
| Both teams to score 49.32% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.52% | 51.48% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.72% | 73.28% |
| Dundee Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.44% | 18.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.18% | 49.82% |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.57% | 39.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.87% | 76.13% |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundee | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 12.32% 2-0 @ 10.37% 2-1 @ 9.66% 3-0 @ 5.83% 3-1 @ 5.42% 3-2 @ 2.52% 4-0 @ 2.45% 4-1 @ 2.28% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.18% Total : 55.1% | 1-1 @ 11.47% 0-0 @ 7.32% 2-2 @ 4.49% Other @ 0.87% Total : 24.15% | 0-1 @ 6.81% 1-2 @ 5.34% 0-2 @ 3.17% 1-3 @ 1.66% 2-3 @ 1.39% 0-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.38% Total : 20.73% |