Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 42.52%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.
Result | ||
Arbroath | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
42.52% | 26.42% | 31.06% |
Both teams to score 51.63% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.04% | 52.96% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.44% | 74.56% |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.33% | 24.67% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.81% | 59.2% |
Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.53% | 31.47% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.15% | 67.85% |
Score Analysis |
Arbroath | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
1-0 @ 10.86% 2-1 @ 8.79% 2-0 @ 7.6% 3-1 @ 4.1% 3-0 @ 3.55% 3-2 @ 2.37% 4-1 @ 1.44% 4-0 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.57% Total : 42.52% | 1-1 @ 12.56% 0-0 @ 7.76% 2-2 @ 5.08% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.42% | 0-1 @ 8.98% 1-2 @ 7.26% 0-2 @ 5.19% 1-3 @ 2.8% 0-3 @ 2% 2-3 @ 1.96% Other @ 2.88% Total : 31.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 69 | 22 | 47 | 71 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 65 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 62 | 50 | 12 | 54 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 44 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 43 |
7 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 50 | 58 | -8 | 42 |
8 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 38 |
9 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 43 | 56 | -13 | 37 |
10 | Arbroath | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 35 | 79 | -44 | 23 |
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