Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 42.52%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 42.52% | 26.42% | 31.06% |
| Both teams to score 51.63% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.04% | 52.96% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.44% | 74.56% |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.33% | 24.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.81% | 59.2% |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.53% | 31.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.15% | 67.85% |
| Score Analysis |
| Arbroath | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 10.86% 2-1 @ 8.79% 2-0 @ 7.6% 3-1 @ 4.1% 3-0 @ 3.55% 3-2 @ 2.37% 4-1 @ 1.44% 4-0 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.57% Total : 42.52% | 1-1 @ 12.56% 0-0 @ 7.76% 2-2 @ 5.08% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.42% | 0-1 @ 8.98% 1-2 @ 7.26% 0-2 @ 5.19% 1-3 @ 2.8% 0-3 @ 2% 2-3 @ 1.96% Other @ 2.88% Total : 31.06% |