Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 51.03%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 24.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 0-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 51.03% | 24.13% | 24.83% |
| Both teams to score 54.38% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.74% | 47.25% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.51% | 69.48% |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.47% | 18.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.23% | 49.76% |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.75% | 33.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.14% | 69.86% |
| Score Analysis |
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 1-0 @ 10.38% 2-1 @ 9.64% 2-0 @ 8.75% 3-1 @ 5.42% 3-0 @ 4.92% 3-2 @ 2.98% 4-1 @ 2.28% 4-0 @ 2.07% 4-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 3.32% Total : 51.03% | 1-1 @ 11.43% 0-0 @ 6.16% 2-2 @ 5.31% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.13% | 0-1 @ 6.78% 1-2 @ 6.3% 0-2 @ 3.74% 1-3 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 1.95% 0-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.38% Total : 24.83% |