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Dunfermline Athletic
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 25
Apr 17, 2021 at 12pm UK
East End Park
Queen of the South

Dunfermline
3 - 1
QotS

O'Hara (10'), Murray (82'), Henderson (90+1')
Whittaker (90+4'), Fon Williams (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Maxwell (87')

The Match

Match Report

There were three goals in the final 10 minutes.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 51.03%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 24.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 0-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.

Result
Dunfermline AthleticDrawQueen of the South
51.03%24.13%24.83%
Both teams to score 54.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.74%47.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.51%69.48%
Dunfermline Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.47%18.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.23%49.76%
Queen of the South Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.75%33.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.14%69.86%
Score Analysis
    Dunfermline Athletic 51.03%
    Queen of the South 24.83%
    Draw 24.13%
Dunfermline AthleticDrawQueen of the South
1-0 @ 10.38%
2-1 @ 9.64%
2-0 @ 8.75%
3-1 @ 5.42%
3-0 @ 4.92%
3-2 @ 2.98%
4-1 @ 2.28%
4-0 @ 2.07%
4-2 @ 1.26%
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 51.03%
1-1 @ 11.43%
0-0 @ 6.16%
2-2 @ 5.31%
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.13%
0-1 @ 6.78%
1-2 @ 6.3%
0-2 @ 3.74%
1-3 @ 2.31%
2-3 @ 1.95%
0-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 24.83%