Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 60.02%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 17.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.49%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Raith Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.