Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 60.02%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 17.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.49%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Raith Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 60.02% | 22.75% | 17.23% |
| Both teams to score 47.66% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.35% | 50.64% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.45% | 72.55% |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.51% | 16.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.78% | 46.21% |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.07% | 42.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.77% | 79.23% |
| Score Analysis |
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 12.75% 2-0 @ 11.49% 2-1 @ 9.72% 3-0 @ 6.91% 3-1 @ 5.84% 4-0 @ 3.11% 4-1 @ 2.63% 3-2 @ 2.47% 5-0 @ 1.12% 4-2 @ 1.11% 5-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.89% Total : 60.01% | 1-1 @ 10.79% 0-0 @ 7.08% 2-2 @ 4.11% Other @ 0.77% Total : 22.75% | 0-1 @ 5.99% 1-2 @ 4.56% 0-2 @ 2.53% 1-3 @ 1.29% 2-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.7% Total : 17.23% |